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Intrinsic Value of Bally's Corporation (BALY)

Previous Close$10.97
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$10.97

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Bally’s Corporation operates as a diversified gaming and entertainment company, primarily focused on casino resorts, online gaming, and sports betting. The company generates revenue through a mix of land-based casino operations, digital gaming platforms, and sports wagering services, positioning itself in the rapidly evolving gambling and leisure sector. Bally’s has expanded aggressively through acquisitions, aiming to establish a national footprint in both physical and digital gaming markets. Its portfolio includes owned and managed casinos across the U.S., alongside a growing online presence through platforms like Bally Bet and Bally Casino. The company competes with established players like Caesars Entertainment and DraftKings, leveraging its brand recognition and strategic partnerships to capture market share. Bally’s targets a broad demographic, from traditional casino-goers to tech-savvy online bettors, while navigating regulatory complexities in emerging sports betting markets. Its hybrid model combines steady cash flows from brick-and-mortar assets with high-growth digital opportunities, though execution risks remain as it scales operations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Bally’s reported revenue of $2.45 billion for FY 2024, reflecting its diversified operations, but posted a net loss of $567.8 million, driven by high interest expenses and integration costs from recent acquisitions. Operating cash flow of $114 million suggests underlying cash generation, though capital expenditures of $199.8 million indicate heavy reinvestment needs. The diluted EPS of -$11.71 underscores profitability challenges amid expansion efforts.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative net income and EPS highlight strained earnings power, exacerbated by a leveraged balance sheet. Operating cash flow covers only a portion of capital expenditures, signaling reliance on external financing. Bally’s capital efficiency is pressured by debt servicing costs and integration expenses, though digital growth could improve returns over time if scaled effectively.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Bally’s holds $171.2 million in cash against $4.94 billion in total debt, reflecting a highly leveraged position. The debt load raises liquidity concerns, particularly given negative net income and substantial capex. Absence of dividends aligns with capital preservation priorities, but refinancing risks loom if operational cash flows fail to stabilize.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Bally’s growth is fueled by acquisitions and digital expansion, though profitability remains elusive. The company does not pay dividends, redirecting cash toward debt reduction and growth initiatives. Near-term trends hinge on online gaming adoption and synergies from acquired assets, but execution risks and competition could temper progress.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Bally’s as a turnaround story, balancing high leverage against digital growth potential. Negative earnings and elevated debt suggest skepticism, but strategic bets on online gaming could justify valuation if execution improves. Investors may weigh near-term losses against long-term market positioning in a fragmented industry.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Bally’s benefits from a diversified asset base and early moves in digital gaming, but its outlook depends on debt management and operational integration. Regulatory tailwinds in sports betting and online casinos offer opportunities, but competition and capital constraints pose risks. Success hinges on achieving scale in digital platforms while stabilizing legacy operations.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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