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Intrinsic Value of BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)

Previous Close$35.41
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$35.41

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

BorgWarner Inc. is a global leader in automotive propulsion solutions, specializing in combustion, hybrid, and electric vehicle technologies. The company operates in two primary segments: Air Management and ePropulsion, providing critical components such as turbochargers, emissions systems, and electric drive systems. Serving OEMs worldwide, BorgWarner leverages its engineering expertise to address evolving regulatory and consumer demands for efficiency and sustainability. Its market position is strengthened by long-term contracts and a diversified customer base across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company’s strategic focus on electrification aligns with industry shifts toward cleaner mobility, positioning it as a key supplier in the transition. BorgWarner’s competitive edge lies in its R&D investments and vertically integrated manufacturing, enabling cost-effective scaling of advanced technologies. While facing competition from established automotive suppliers, its innovation pipeline and acquisition strategy bolster its relevance in high-growth EV segments.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

BorgWarner reported FY 2024 revenue of $14.1 billion, with net income of $338 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $1.50, impacted by restructuring costs and electrification investments. Operating cash flow of $1.38 billion underscores solid cash generation, though capital expenditures of $671 million indicate ongoing reinvestment. The company’s asset turnover and operating leverage suggest disciplined cost management amid sector volatility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is tempered by cyclical automotive demand and R&D spend, but its diversified product mix mitigates downturns. ROIC trends reflect capital allocation toward high-margin electrification products, though near-term profitability is pressured by transition costs. Free cash flow conversion remains robust, supporting reinvestment and debt reduction.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

BorgWarner maintains a balanced capital structure, with $2.09 billion in cash and $4.34 billion in total debt. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio is manageable, aided by strong operating cash flows. Liquidity is sufficient to fund growth initiatives, and the company has no near-term maturity cliffs. Credit metrics align with investment-grade ratings, providing flexibility for strategic moves.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Organic growth is driven by electrification adoption, with hybrid and EV products gaining traction. The dividend of $0.44 per share yields ~1.5%, reflecting a conservative payout ratio. Share repurchases are limited, prioritizing M&A and capex. Long-term targets emphasize margin expansion through portfolio optimization and scale benefits in ePropulsion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a forward P/E below sector peers, BorgWarner’s valuation discounts execution risks in its EV transition. Consensus estimates project mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025, with margins improving as electrification investments mature. The stock’s performance hinges on EV adoption rates and OEM contract wins.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

BorgWarner’s technology moat in propulsion systems and agile supply chain position it to capitalize on electrification. Near-term headwinds include inflationary pressures and OEM production volatility, but its backlog and innovation pipeline underpin long-term upside. Management’s focus on cost discipline and strategic acquisitions should enhance competitiveness in a transforming industry.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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