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Intrinsic value of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)

Previous Close$32.62
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$32.62
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh21.97 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated engages in the operation of restaurants. As of February 26, 2020, it owned and operated 294 restaurants in the United States and Canada under the brands of The Cheesecake Factory and North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 26 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants operated under licensing agreements internationally. The company also operated two bakery facilities that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for international licensees, third-party bakery customers, retailers, and distributors. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Calabasas, California.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %47.7NaN
Revenue, $2928NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m2846NaN
Operating income, $m82NaN
EBITDA, $m171NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m48NaN
Tax expense, $m-1NaN
Net income, $m49NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m190NaN
Total assets, $m2798NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2608NaN
Average production assets, $m2257NaN
Working capital, $m-230NaN
Total debt, $m1816NaN
Total liabilities, $m2468NaN
Total equity, $m330NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio5.503NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.104NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m49NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m89NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m213NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-67NaN
Free cash flow, $m280NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-230
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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