Intrinsic value of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of CAKE

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of CAKE stock

Previous Close$51.79
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$51.79

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-20.1NaN
Revenue, $1983NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m2331NaN
Operating income, $m-347NaN
EBITDA, $m-256NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-380NaN
Tax expense, $m-103NaN
Net income, $m-277NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m154NaN
Total assets, $m2747NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2593NaN
Average production assets, $m1148NaN
Working capital, $m-245NaN
Total debt, $m280NaN
Total liabilities, $m2458NaN
Total equity, $m289NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.970NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.052NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-277NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m91NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-50NaN
Free cash flow, $m53NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-245
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN