Intrinsic value of Conn's, Inc. (CONN)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of CONN

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of CONN stock

Previous Close$20.90
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$20.90

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-01-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-01-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-10.2NaN
Revenue, $1386NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1355NaN
Operating income, $m31NaN
EBITDA, $m110NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-19NaN
Tax expense, $m-16NaN
Net income, $m-3NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m60NaN
Total assets, $m1755NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1695NaN
Average production assets, $m508NaN
Working capital, $m632NaN
Total debt, $m609NaN
Total liabilities, $m1198NaN
Total equity, $m557NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.092NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.293NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-3NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m80NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m462NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-56NaN
Free cash flow, $m518NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m632
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN