Intrinsic value of Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of CP

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of CP stock

Previous Close$79.91
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$79.91

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-2.0NaN
Revenue, $5756NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3284NaN
Operating income, $m2472NaN
EBITDA, $m3053NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m2390NaN
Tax expense, $m566NaN
Net income, $m1824NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m110NaN
Total assets, $m17647NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m17538NaN
Average production assets, $m15055NaN
Working capital, $m-994NaN
Total debt, $m7294NaN
Total liabilities, $m12184NaN
Total equity, $m5464NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.335NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.356NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1824NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m582NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2092NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1231NaN
Free cash flow, $m3323NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-994
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN