Intrinsic value of Cubic Corporation (CUB)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of CUB

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of CUB stock

Previous Close$74.81
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$74.81

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-1.4NaN
Revenue, $1476NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1415NaN
Operating income, $m62NaN
EBITDA, $m150NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-10NaN
Tax expense, $m-6NaN
Net income, $m-3NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m157NaN
Total assets, $m2324NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2167NaN
Average production assets, $m1025NaN
Working capital, $m176NaN
Total debt, $m605NaN
Total liabilities, $m1336NaN
Total equity, $m988NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.612NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.389NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-3NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m88NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-5NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-49NaN
Free cash flow, $m44NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m176
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN