Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of CVE

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of CVE stock

Previous Close$8.06
Intrinsic Value$1.20
Upside potential  -85%
Previous Close
$8.06
Intrinsic Value
$1.20
Potential        
-85%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-35.1NaN
Revenue, $9874NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m11930NaN
Operating income, $m-2056NaN
EBITDA, $m530NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-2411NaN
Tax expense, $m-635NaN
Net income, $m-1776NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m282NaN
Total assets, $m24463NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m24181NaN
Average production assets, $m21677NaN
Working capital, $m461NaN
Total debt, $m5645NaN
Total liabilities, $m11991NaN
Total equity, $m12472NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.453NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.508NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-1776NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m2586NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m204NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-641NaN
Free cash flow, $m845NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m461
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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