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Intrinsic value of Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of CVGI

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of CVGI stock

Previous Close$9.24
Intrinsic Value$2.06
Upside potential  -78%
Previous Close
$9.24
Intrinsic Value
$2.06
Potential        
-78%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-20.4NaN
Revenue, $718NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m741NaN
Operating income, $m-23NaN
EBITDA, $m-3NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-45NaN
Tax expense, $m-7NaN
Net income, $m-37NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m51NaN
Total assets, $m454NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m404NaN
Average production assets, $m106NaN
Working capital, $m146NaN
Total debt, $m147NaN
Total liabilities, $m359NaN
Total equity, $m95NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.537NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.117NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-37NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m20NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m34NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-6NaN
Free cash flow, $m41NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m146
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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