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Intrinsic Value of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D)

Previous Close$56.86
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$56.86

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Dominion Energy, Inc. operates as a diversified energy company primarily focused on regulated electric and natural gas utilities in the U.S. Its core revenue model is anchored in rate-regulated operations, ensuring stable cash flows through long-term contracts and government-approved tariffs. The company serves approximately 7 million customers across states like Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, leveraging its infrastructure to deliver reliable energy solutions. Dominion also engages in renewable energy development, including offshore wind and solar projects, aligning with broader decarbonization trends. Its market position is strengthened by its vertically integrated operations, which span generation, transmission, and distribution. While facing competition from other utilities and independent power producers, Dominion maintains a competitive edge through scale, regulatory relationships, and strategic investments in cleaner energy. The company’s focus on transitioning to low-carbon energy sources positions it favorably in a sector increasingly driven by sustainability mandates and ESG considerations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Dominion reported revenue of $14.46 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $2.12 billion, translating to diluted EPS of $2.44. Operating cash flow stood at $5.02 billion, reflecting robust cash generation from its regulated utilities. However, capital expenditures of -$12.2 billion highlight significant ongoing investments in infrastructure and renewable energy projects, which may pressure short-term liquidity but support long-term growth.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underpinned by its regulated utility operations, which provide predictable returns. Despite high capital expenditures, Dominion’s ability to recover costs through regulatory mechanisms enhances capital efficiency. The diluted EPS of $2.44 indicates stable profitability, though reinvestment needs may temper near-term earnings growth.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Dominion’s balance sheet shows $310 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $41.75 billion, reflecting a leveraged position typical for utilities. The high debt load is manageable given the stable cash flows from regulated operations, but interest rate fluctuations could impact financing costs. The company’s financial health remains adequate, supported by its asset base and regulatory framework.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Dominion’s growth is driven by investments in renewable energy and grid modernization, aligning with regulatory and environmental trends. The company pays a dividend of $2.67 per share, offering a yield attractive to income-focused investors. However, dividend growth may be constrained by high capex requirements and debt servicing needs.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Dominion based on its stable cash flows and transition to cleaner energy. Current valuation metrics reflect expectations of moderate growth, balanced by regulatory risks and capital intensity. Investors likely price in the company’s ability to execute its renewable energy strategy while maintaining dividend stability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Dominion’s strategic advantages include its regulated monopoly status, diversified energy portfolio, and proactive shift toward renewables. The outlook is positive, with growth hinging on successful capex deployment and regulatory support. Challenges include managing debt and navigating energy policy shifts, but the company’s scale and infrastructure provide resilience.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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