Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of DECK

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of DECK stock

Previous Close$335.75
Intrinsic Value$165.24
Upside potential  -51%
Previous Close
$335.75
Intrinsic Value
$165.24
Potential        
-51%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-03-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %5.6NaN
Revenue, $2133NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1795NaN
Operating income, $m338NaN
EBITDA, $m377NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m341NaN
Tax expense, $m65NaN
Net income, $m276NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m649NaN
Total assets, $m1765NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1116NaN
Average production assets, $m275NaN
Working capital, $m893NaN
Total debt, $m79NaN
Total liabilities, $m625NaN
Total equity, $m1140NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.070NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.484NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m276NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m39NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m286NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-32NaN
Free cash flow, $m318NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m893
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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