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Intrinsic Value of DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS)

Previous Close$209.99
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$209.99

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. operates as a leading omnichannel retailer in the sporting goods industry, catering to athletes and outdoor enthusiasts across the U.S. The company generates revenue through the sale of sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and accessories, both in-store and online. Its diversified product portfolio includes brands like Nike, Under Armour, and private-label offerings, positioning it as a one-stop destination for sports and fitness needs. DICK'S has carved out a strong market position by leveraging its extensive store network, e-commerce platform, and exclusive partnerships with top athletic brands. The company also differentiates itself through specialized services such as in-store golf simulators, fitness equipment demos, and team sports merchandising, enhancing customer engagement. Competitive pressures from online retailers and mass merchandisers are mitigated by its focus on experiential retail and localized assortments tailored to regional sports trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2025, DICK'S reported revenue of $13.44 billion and net income of $1.17 billion, reflecting robust demand in its core categories. Diluted EPS stood at $14.05, underscoring efficient cost management and pricing power. Operating cash flow of $1.31 billion highlights strong operational execution, though capital expenditures of $803 million indicate ongoing investments in store upgrades and digital infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates solid earnings power, with net income margins of approximately 8.7%. Capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to revenue, supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns. However, elevated capital expenditures suggest a focus on long-term growth initiatives over near-term cash returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

DICK'S maintains a healthy balance sheet with $1.69 billion in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for strategic initiatives. Total debt of $4.49 billion is manageable given its cash flow generation, though leverage metrics warrant monitoring. The company’s financial flexibility is supported by consistent profitability and access to credit markets.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, driven by e-commerce expansion and store productivity improvements. The company pays a dividend of $4.50 per share, signaling confidence in sustained cash flow. Future growth may hinge on market share gains in key categories like athletic apparel and outdoor equipment, as well as operational efficiencies.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Current valuation reflects market optimism about DICK'S ability to maintain its leadership in sporting goods retail. Investors appear to price in mid-single-digit revenue growth and stable margins, balancing competitive risks with the company’s omnichannel strengths and brand partnerships.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

DICK'S benefits from its scale, brand equity, and differentiated retail experience. Strategic priorities include enhancing digital capabilities and optimizing inventory management. The outlook remains positive, assuming continued consumer interest in fitness and outdoor activities, though macroeconomic pressures could temper discretionary spending.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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