Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Deswell Industries, Inc. (DSWL)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of DSWL

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of DSWL stock

Previous Close$3.87
Intrinsic Value$3.17
Upside potential  -18%
Previous Close
$3.87
Intrinsic Value
$3.17
Potential        
-18%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-03-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-09-30.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-1.8NaN
Revenue, $65NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m64NaN
Operating income, $m1NaN
EBITDA, $m3NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-1NaN
Tax expense, $m0NaN
Net income, $m-1NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m43NaN
Total assets, $m95NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m53NaN
Average production assets, $m29NaN
Working capital, $m51NaN
Total debt, $m702NaN
Total liabilities, $m15NaN
Total equity, $m80NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio8.745NaN
Adjusted equity ratio4.443NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-1NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m2NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m13NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-0NaN
Free cash flow, $m13NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m51
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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