investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)

Previous Close$1.33
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.33

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Educational Development Corporation operates in the publishing and distribution sector, specializing in children’s educational books and learning materials. The company generates revenue through two primary segments: its Publishing division, which produces proprietary titles under brands like Usborne Books & More, and its Distribution division, which markets these products via a direct-selling network of independent consultants. This dual-channel approach allows EDUC to leverage both direct consumer engagement and scalable distribution. The company competes in a niche but competitive market, where brand recognition and educational value are critical differentiators. Its focus on high-quality, curriculum-aligned content positions it favorably among parents and educators seeking supplemental learning tools. However, the rise of digital educational resources presents both a challenge and an opportunity for future adaptation.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, EDUC reported revenue of $51.0 million, with net income of $0.5 million, reflecting a slim net margin of approximately 1.1%. Diluted EPS stood at $0.0659, indicating modest profitability. Operating cash flow was $8.8 million, significantly higher than net income, suggesting non-cash adjustments or working capital efficiencies. Capital expenditures were minimal at $0.8 million, underscoring a capital-light model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power appears constrained, with diluted EPS below $0.10. Operating cash flow, however, demonstrates stronger underlying cash generation relative to reported earnings. The capital-light model, evidenced by low capex, suggests efficient use of capital, though the high total debt of $35.6 million raises questions about leverage and interest coverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

EDUC’s balance sheet shows $0.8 million in cash and equivalents against $35.6 million in total debt, indicating a leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio is elevated, potentially limiting financial flexibility. The absence of dividend payments may reflect a focus on debt management or reinvestment needs, though the company’s ability to service obligations remains a key monitorable.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends are not provided, but the modest net income suggests limited recent growth. The company does not pay dividends, likely prioritizing debt reduction or operational reinvestment. Future growth may hinge on expanding its direct-selling network or diversifying into digital educational products, though competitive pressures could temper upside.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap likely below $100 million given the share count and EPS, EDUC trades at a low earnings multiple, reflecting its niche market and financial constraints. Investors may discount the stock due to leverage and limited profitability, though the strong operating cash flow could support a revaluation if sustained.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

EDUC’s strengths lie in its established brand and dual-channel distribution, but its high debt and thin margins pose risks. The outlook depends on its ability to adapt to digital trends while managing leverage. Success in expanding its consultant network or introducing new product lines could improve profitability, but execution risks remain significant.

Sources

10-K filing for FY 2024

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount