Intrinsic value of The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (EL)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of EL

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of EL stock

Previous Close$290.07
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$290.07

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-06-30 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-3.8NaN
Revenue, $14294NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m13688NaN
Operating income, $m606NaN
EBITDA, $m1217NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1034NaN
Tax expense, $m350NaN
Net income, $m684NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m5022NaN
Total assets, $m17781NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m12759NaN
Average production assets, $m5467NaN
Working capital, $m3713NaN
Total debt, $m6136NaN
Total liabilities, $m13819NaN
Total equity, $m3962NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.549NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.013NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m684NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m611NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2280NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-623NaN
Free cash flow, $m2903NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m3713
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN