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Intrinsic Value of EQT Corporation (EQT)

Previous Close$55.33
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$55.33

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

EQT Corporation is a leading independent natural gas producer in the United States, primarily focused on the Appalachian Basin. The company operates across the full upstream value chain, from exploration and production to midstream operations, leveraging its extensive acreage position in the Marcellus and Utica shale formations. EQT’s revenue model is driven by natural gas sales, with additional income from natural gas liquids (NGLs) and hedging activities. The company’s scale and operational efficiency position it as a low-cost producer in a competitive sector, benefiting from its integrated infrastructure and strategic partnerships. EQT’s market position is further strengthened by its focus on sustainable production practices and technological advancements, which enhance recovery rates and reduce environmental impact. As one of the largest natural gas producers in the U.S., EQT plays a critical role in meeting domestic and international energy demand, particularly in regions reliant on clean-burning fuels for power generation and industrial use.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

EQT reported revenue of $5.22 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $230.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.4%. The company generated $2.83 billion in operating cash flow, underscoring its ability to convert production into cash efficiently. Capital expenditures totaled $2.25 billion, indicating significant reinvestment in production growth and infrastructure. Diluted EPS stood at $0.41, highlighting modest profitability amid volatile commodity prices.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

EQT’s earnings power is closely tied to natural gas prices, with hedging strategies providing some stability. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to maintain production levels while managing costs, though its high debt load of $9.37 billion necessitates careful capital allocation. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures suggests a balanced approach to growth and financial discipline.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

EQT’s balance sheet shows $202.1 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $9.37 billion, indicating a leveraged position. The company’s financial health depends on its ability to generate consistent cash flow to service debt, particularly in a cyclical industry. Shareholders’ equity is supported by its extensive asset base, but the high debt-to-equity ratio warrants monitoring.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

EQT’s growth is driven by its Appalachian Basin operations, with potential upside from higher natural gas prices and export demand. The company paid a dividend of $0.64 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. However, dividend sustainability depends on cash flow stability and debt management, given the capital-intensive nature of the business.

Valuation And Market Expectations

EQT’s valuation reflects its position as a low-cost natural gas producer, with market expectations hinging on commodity price trends and operational execution. The stock’s performance is likely influenced by broader energy market dynamics, including supply-demand imbalances and regulatory developments. Investors should weigh the company’s scale advantages against cyclical risks.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

EQT’s strategic advantages include its extensive Appalachian acreage, integrated operations, and cost leadership. The outlook hinges on natural gas demand growth, particularly from LNG exports and power generation. The company’s focus on efficiency and sustainability positions it well for long-term value creation, though near-term volatility remains a challenge.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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