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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)

Previous Close$105.44
Intrinsic Value$491.88
Upside potential  +367%
Previous Close
$105.44
Intrinsic Value
$491.88
Potential        
+367%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
17,630

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %72.4NaN
Revenue, $16524NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m14615NaN
Operating income, $m1909NaN
EBITDA, $m1960NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1921NaN
Tax expense, $m506NaN
Net income, $m1415NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1729NaN
Total assets, $m7610NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m5881NaN
Average production assets, $m951NaN
Working capital, $m1922NaN
Total debt, $m468NaN
Total liabilities, $m4116NaN
Total equity, $m3494NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.134NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.314NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1415NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m51NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m868NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-36NaN
Free cash flow, $m904NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1922
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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