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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Ford Motor Company (F)

Previous Close$12.50
Intrinsic Value$22.10
Upside potential  +77%
Previous Close
$12.50
Intrinsic Value
$22.10
Potential        
+77%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
51,513

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %7.2NaN
Revenue, $136341NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m131818NaN
Operating income, $m4523NaN
EBITDA, $m10483NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m17807NaN
Tax expense, $m-130NaN
Net income, $m17937NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m49593NaN
Total assets, $m257035NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m207442NaN
Average production assets, $m66018NaN
Working capital, $m18269NaN
Total debt, $m139485NaN
Total liabilities, $m208516NaN
Total equity, $m48519NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio2.875NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.236NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m17937NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m5960NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m15787NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-6227NaN
Free cash flow, $m22014NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m18269
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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