Intrinsic value of Ford Motor Company (F)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of F

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of F stock

Previous Close$11.33
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$11.33

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-18.5NaN
Revenue, $127144NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m131552NaN
Operating income, $m-4408NaN
EBITDA, $m3049NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-1119NaN
Tax expense, $m160NaN
Net income, $m-1279NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m49961NaN
Total assets, $m267261NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m217300NaN
Average production assets, $m36776NaN
Working capital, $m19552NaN
Total debt, $m161684NaN
Total liabilities, $m236450NaN
Total equity, $m30811NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio5.248NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.148NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-1279NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m7457NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m24269NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-5742NaN
Free cash flow, $m30011NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m19552
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN