Intrinsic value of Fastenal Company (FAST)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of FAST

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of FAST stock

Previous Close$52.89
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$52.89

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %5.9NaN
Revenue, $5647NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m4506NaN
Operating income, $m1142NaN
EBITDA, $m1304NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1133NaN
Tax expense, $m274NaN
Net income, $m859NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m246NaN
Total assets, $m3965NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m3719NaN
Average production assets, $m1059NaN
Working capital, $m1887NaN
Total debt, $m405NaN
Total liabilities, $m1232NaN
Total equity, $m2733NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.148NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.680NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m859NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m162NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1102NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-158NaN
Free cash flow, $m1259NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1887
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN