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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of FedEx Corporation (FDX)

Previous Close$200.90
Intrinsic Value$212.19
Upside potential  +6%
Previous Close
$200.90
Intrinsic Value
$212.19
Potential        
+6%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
53,701

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-05-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-02-28.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %21.1NaN
Revenue, $83794NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m77937NaN
Operating income, $m5857NaN
EBITDA, $m9650NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m6663NaN
Tax expense, $m1443NaN
Net income, $m5220NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m7087NaN
Total assets, $m82777NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m75690NaN
Average production assets, $m56012NaN
Working capital, $m6920NaN
Total debt, $m36462NaN
Total liabilities, $m58609NaN
Total equity, $m24168NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.509NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.257NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m5220NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m3793NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m10135NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-5782NaN
Free cash flow, $m15917NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m6920
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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