Intrinsic value of Five Star Quality Care, Inc. (FVE)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of FVE

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of FVE stock

Previous Close$5.59
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$5.59

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-17.5NaN
Revenue, $1167NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1151NaN
Operating income, $m16NaN
EBITDA, $m27NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-7NaN
Tax expense, $m1NaN
Net income, $m-8NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m128NaN
Total assets, $m454NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m326NaN
Average production assets, $m163NaN
Working capital, $m84NaN
Total debt, $m11NaN
Total liabilities, $m244NaN
Total equity, $m211NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.051NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.253NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-8NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m11NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m51NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3NaN
Free cash flow, $m54NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m84
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN