Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Forward Air Corporation (FWRD)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of FWRD

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of FWRD stock

Previous Close$86.87
Intrinsic Value$11.55
Upside potential  -87%
Previous Close
$86.87
Intrinsic Value
$11.55
Potential        
-87%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %4.5NaN
Revenue, $1270NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1196NaN
Operating income, $m74NaN
EBITDA, $m111NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m40NaN
Tax expense, $m17NaN
Net income, $m23NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m40NaN
Total assets, $m1095NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1055NaN
Average production assets, $m671NaN
Working capital, $m74NaN
Total debt, $m243NaN
Total liabilities, $m548NaN
Total equity, $m547NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.444NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.523NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m23NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m37NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m96NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-18NaN
Free cash flow, $m114NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m74
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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