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Intrinsic Value of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC)

Previous Close$15.71
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$15.71

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. operates as a regional bank holding company, primarily serving commercial and retail customers across Indiana and Michigan. The company generates revenue through traditional banking activities, including interest income from loans and securities, as well as fee-based services such as wealth management and treasury solutions. Its market position is anchored in community-focused banking, leveraging localized expertise to compete against larger national institutions while maintaining strong customer relationships. Horizon Bancorp emphasizes mid-market commercial lending, residential mortgages, and consumer banking, positioning itself as a trusted financial partner in its regional footprint. The bank’s diversified loan portfolio and conservative underwriting practices help mitigate sector-specific risks, while its digital banking initiatives enhance accessibility and operational efficiency. In a competitive landscape dominated by both regional peers and national banks, Horizon Bancorp differentiates itself through personalized service and a commitment to local economic development.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Horizon Bancorp reported $187.5 million in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $35.4 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $0.81. Operating cash flow stood at $6.4 million, though capital expenditures were negligible, reflecting the asset-light nature of banking operations. The company’s profitability metrics suggest moderate efficiency, with room for improvement in cost management relative to peer benchmarks.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The bank’s earnings power is driven by net interest income, supported by a stable loan portfolio and disciplined credit risk management. Capital efficiency appears adequate, with no significant capital expenditures reported, though the high total debt of $1.26 billion indicates reliance on leverage. The diluted EPS of $0.81 reflects modest but consistent earnings generation.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Horizon Bancorp’s balance sheet shows $92.3 million in cash and equivalents, against total debt of $1.26 billion, highlighting a leveraged position. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a focus on liquidity preservation. While the debt load is substantial, the bank’s regional focus and diversified lending activities provide some stability to its financial health.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends appear steady but unspectacular, with the bank prioritizing sustainable lending practices over aggressive expansion. The dividend per share of $0.64 indicates a commitment to shareholder returns, though the payout ratio should be monitored for sustainability. Horizon Bancorp’s growth strategy likely hinges on organic loan book expansion and selective market penetration.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The bank’s valuation reflects its regional focus and moderate growth prospects. Market expectations are likely tempered by its leveraged balance sheet and competitive industry dynamics. Investors may weigh its dividend yield against potential risks from interest rate fluctuations and economic cyclicality.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Horizon Bancorp’s strategic advantages include its deep regional presence and customer-centric approach, which foster loyalty and stable deposit funding. The outlook remains cautious but stable, with opportunities in digital banking adoption and mid-market lending. Challenges include managing debt levels and navigating regulatory pressures in a tightening monetary environment.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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