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Intrinsic value of HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)

Previous Close$204.78
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$204.78
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
62,560

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %14.0NaN
Revenue, $58752NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m48961NaN
Operating income, $m9791NaN
EBITDA, $m12644NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m9068NaN
Tax expense, $m2112NaN
Net income, $m6956NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1554NaN
Total assets, $m50742NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m49188NaN
Average production assets, $m34759NaN
Working capital, $m3960NaN
Total debt, $m36726NaN
Total liabilities, $m51675NaN
Total equity, $m-933NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio-39.363NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.038NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m6956NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m2853NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m8959NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3577NaN
Free cash flow, $m12536NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m3960
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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