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Intrinsic Value of Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN)

Previous Close$8.30
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$8.30

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hudson Technologies, Inc. operates as a refrigerant services company, specializing in the reclamation, recycling, and resale of refrigerants, alongside providing sustainable solutions for refrigerant management. The company serves commercial, industrial, and governmental customers, addressing regulatory compliance and environmental concerns tied to refrigerant use. Hudson’s core revenue model hinges on the cyclical demand for refrigerants, driven by regulatory changes like the phasedown of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) under the AIM Act. The company differentiates itself through its closed-loop refrigerant lifecycle management, offering recovery, reclamation, and wholesale distribution services. Positioned as a leader in the North American refrigerant reclamation market, Hudson benefits from stringent environmental regulations that incentivize the reuse of refrigerants. Its vertically integrated operations, including proprietary reclamation technology, provide cost advantages and scalability. The company’s focus on sustainability aligns with global trends toward reducing greenhouse gas emissions, reinforcing its market relevance.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Hudson Technologies reported revenue of $237.1 million, with net income of $24.4 million, translating to diluted EPS of $0.52. Operating cash flow stood at $91.8 million, reflecting strong cash generation from core operations. Capital expenditures were modest at $5.3 million, indicating efficient reinvestment. The company’s profitability metrics suggest effective cost management, though its cyclical exposure to refrigerant pricing and regulatory shifts warrants monitoring.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Hudson’s earnings power is underpinned by its ability to capitalize on regulatory-driven demand for reclaimed refrigerants. The company’s high operating cash flow relative to net income highlights robust cash conversion. With minimal debt ($6.9 million) and a cash balance of $70.1 million, Hudson maintains a conservative capital structure, enabling flexibility for strategic initiatives or market downturns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet remains solid, with $70.1 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $6.9 million, yielding a net cash position. This low leverage provides resilience against cyclical volatility. Shareholders’ equity is supported by efficient working capital management, though inventory turnover may fluctuate with refrigerant price cycles.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is tied to regulatory tailwinds and market adoption of reclaimed refrigerants. Hudson does not pay dividends, opting to reinvest cash flows into operations or strategic opportunities. Historical performance suggests cyclical revenue patterns, but long-term demand is bolstered by environmental regulations.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Hudson based on its cyclical earnings potential and regulatory exposure. With a modest debt load and strong cash flow, the company trades at a premium to peers with less regulatory alignment. Investor focus remains on execution amid evolving refrigerant policies.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Hudson’s strategic advantages include its regulatory expertise, reclamation infrastructure, and sustainability focus. The outlook is positive, driven by HFC phasedown schedules, though competitive pressures and refrigerant price volatility pose risks. The company’s ability to scale its reclamation capacity will be critical to capturing long-term demand.

Sources

10-K, company filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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