Intrinsic value of HollyFrontier Corporation (HFC)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of HFC

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of HFC stock

Previous Close$34.21
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$34.21

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-36.0NaN
Revenue, $11184NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m11917NaN
Operating income, $m-734NaN
EBITDA, $m332NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-835NaN
Tax expense, $m-232NaN
Net income, $m-603NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1368NaN
Total assets, $m11507NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m10139NaN
Average production assets, $m7701NaN
Working capital, $m1936NaN
Total debt, $m3143NaN
Total liabilities, $m5785NaN
Total equity, $m5722NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.549NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.429NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-603NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1066NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m458NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-329NaN
Free cash flow, $m787NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1936
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN