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Intrinsic value of Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of HMC

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of HMC stock

Previous Close$31.44
Intrinsic Value$10.88
Upside potential  -65%
Previous Close
$31.44
Intrinsic Value
$10.88
Potential        
-65%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-03-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-3.9NaN
Revenue, $137365NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m131536NaN
Operating income, $m5829NaN
EBITDA, $m12268NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m6769NaN
Tax expense, $m2576NaN
Net income, $m4193NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m24586NaN
Total assets, $m188246NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m163660NaN
Average production assets, $m42165NaN
Working capital, $m13900NaN
Total debt, $m68721NaN
Total liabilities, $m112014NaN
Total equity, $m76231NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.901NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.498NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m4193NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m6439NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m9011NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3244NaN
Free cash flow, $m12254NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m13900
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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