Intrinsic value of Hallador Energy Company (HNRG)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of HNRG

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of HNRG stock

Previous Close$2.62
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$2.62

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-23.7NaN
Revenue, $242NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m235NaN
Operating income, $m7NaN
EBITDA, $m48NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-9NaN
Tax expense, $m-3NaN
Net income, $m-6NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m12NaN
Total assets, $m384NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m372NaN
Average production assets, $m1914NaN
Working capital, $m-8NaN
Total debt, $m142NaN
Total liabilities, $m199NaN
Total equity, $m185NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.768NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.572NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-6NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m41NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m53NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-21NaN
Free cash flow, $m73NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-8
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN