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Intrinsic value of Hologic, Inc. (HOLX)

Previous Close$77.75
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$77.75

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
19,725

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %49.2NaN
Revenue, $5632NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3152NaN
Operating income, $m2480NaN
EBITDA, $m2887NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m2363NaN
Tax expense, $m491NaN
Net income, $m1872NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1170NaN
Total assets, $m8920NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m7750NaN
Average production assets, $m5063NaN
Working capital, $m1842NaN
Total debt, $m3145NaN
Total liabilities, $m4701NaN
Total equity, $m4219NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.745NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.438NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1872NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m407NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2330NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-156NaN
Free cash flow, $m2486NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1842
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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