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Investor's Craft

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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of HP Inc. (HPQ)

Previous Close$34.65
Intrinsic Value$36.08
Upside potential  +4%
Previous Close
$34.65
Intrinsic Value
$36.08
Potential        
+4%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
37,838

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-10-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-01-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %12.7NaN
Revenue, $63701NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m58399NaN
Operating income, $m5302NaN
EBITDA, $m6087NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m7511NaN
Tax expense, $m1008NaN
Net income, $m6503NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m4304NaN
Total assets, $m38610NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m34306NaN
Average production assets, $m10990NaN
Working capital, $m-6991NaN
Total debt, $m8778NaN
Total liabilities, $m40260NaN
Total equity, $m-1650NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio-5.320NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.131NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m6503NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m785NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m6409NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-582NaN
Free cash flow, $m6991NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-6991
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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