Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of JCI

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of JCI stock

Previous Close$70.16
Intrinsic Value$3.03
Upside potential  -96%
Previous Close
$70.16
Intrinsic Value
$3.03
Potential        
-96%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-6.9NaN
Revenue, $22317NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m21354NaN
Operating income, $m963NaN
EBITDA, $m1785NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m739NaN
Tax expense, $m108NaN
Net income, $m631NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1951NaN
Total assets, $m40815NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m38864NaN
Average production assets, $m26753NaN
Working capital, $m1805NaN
Total debt, $m7819NaN
Total liabilities, $m22282NaN
Total equity, $m18533NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.422NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.434NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m631NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m822NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2479NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-316NaN
Free cash flow, $m2795NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1805
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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