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Intrinsic value of LHC Group, Inc. (LHCG)

Previous Close$161.79
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$161.79

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh51.91 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

LHC Group, Inc., a health care provider, specializes in the post-acute continuum of care primarily for Medicare beneficiaries in the United States. The company's Home Health Services segment offers home nursing services, including wound care and dressing changes, cardiac rehabilitation, infusion therapy, pain management, pharmaceutical administration, skilled observation and assessment, and patient education; medically-oriented social services; and physical, occupational, and speech therapy services. Its Hospice Services segment provides pain and symptom management accompanied by palliative medication, emotional and spiritual support, inpatient and respite care, homemaker services, dietary counseling, family bereavement counseling, and social worker visits. The company's Home and Community-Based Services segment offers services, such as assistance with grooming, medication reminders, meal preparation, assistance with feeding, light housekeeping, respite care, transportation, and errand services to patients in their home or in a medical facility. Its Facility-Based Services segment serves patients suffering from respiratory failure, neuromuscular disorders, cardiac disorders, non-healing wounds, renal disorders, cancer, head and neck injuries, and mental disorders, as well as treats patients diagnosed with musculoskeletal impairments; and operates institutional pharmacy, a family health center, a rural health clinic, and a retail pharmacy, as well as offers physical therapy services. The company's Healthcare Innovations (HCI) Services segment provides strategic health management services to Accountable Care Organizations. As of December 31, 2019, it operated 553 home health services locations, 110 hospice locations, 107 community-based service locations, 11 long-term acute care hospitals with 13 locations, and 10 HCI locations. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Lafayette, Louisiana.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %7.6NaN
Revenue, $2220NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m2034NaN
Operating income, $m186NaN
EBITDA, $m244NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m154NaN
Tax expense, $m38NaN
Net income, $m116NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m10NaN
Total assets, $m2977NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2967NaN
Average production assets, $m2114NaN
Working capital, $m24NaN
Total debt, $m778NaN
Total liabilities, $m1411NaN
Total equity, $m1566NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.497NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.537NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m116NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m58NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-63NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-33NaN
Free cash flow, $m-30NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m24
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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