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Intrinsic value of Marathon Oil Corporation (MRO)

Previous Close$27.26
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$27.26
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
20,254

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %80.9NaN
Revenue, $5601NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m4293NaN
Operating income, $m1308NaN
EBITDA, $m3499NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1004NaN
Tax expense, $m58NaN
Net income, $m946NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m580NaN
Total assets, $m16994NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m16414NaN
Average production assets, $m15165NaN
Working capital, $m184NaN
Total debt, $m4107NaN
Total liabilities, $m6308NaN
Total equity, $m10686NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.384NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.621NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m946NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m2191NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3122NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1024NaN
Free cash flow, $m4146NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m184
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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