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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

Previous Close$38.46
Intrinsic Value$14.00*
Upside potential  -64%
Previous Close
$38.46
Intrinsic Value
$14.00*
Potential        
-64%
* Our model cannot be used “out of the box” for the valuation of this stock. You can still do your own valuation by changing the valuation input parameters.
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh13.8 14

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. It operates through Generation and Retail segments. The company is involved in the producing, selling, and delivering electricity and related products and services to 3.7 million residential, industrial, and commercial consumers. It generates electricity using natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage. The company also provides system power, distributed generation, renewable products, backup generation, storage and distributed solar, demand response, energy efficiency, advisory, and on-site energy solutions; and carbon management and specialty services. In addition, it trades in electric power, natural gas, and related commodity and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. Further, the company procures fuels; provides transportation services; and directly sells energy, services, and products and services to retail customers under the NRG, Reliant, Green Mountain Energy, Stream, XOOM Energy, and other names. As of December 31, 2019, it owns fossil fuel, nuclear, and renewable plants with generation capacity of 23,000 megawatts. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %200.0NaN
Revenue, $26897NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m23556NaN
Operating income, $m3341NaN
EBITDA, $m4313NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m2859NaN
Tax expense, $m672NaN
Net income, $m2187NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m4878NaN
Total assets, $m23182NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m18304NaN
Average production assets, $m5180NaN
Working capital, $m2926NaN
Total debt, $m8287NaN
Total liabilities, $m19582NaN
Total equity, $m3600NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio2.302NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.065NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m2187NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m972NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m493NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m561NaN
Free cash flow, $m-68NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2926
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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