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Intrinsic value of Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)

Previous Close$300.89
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$300.89
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh60.74 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-09-30.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier in the United States and North America. It provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, including expedited transportation. The company also offers various value-added services, such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 10,403 tractors, 27,917 linehaul trailers, and 13,303 pickup and delivery trailers; 3 fleet maintenance centers; and 251 service centers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %30.9NaN
Revenue, $5256NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3864NaN
Operating income, $m1392NaN
EBITDA, $m1667NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1388NaN
Tax expense, $m354NaN
Net income, $m1034NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m717NaN
Total assets, $m4822NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m4105NaN
Average production assets, $m3167NaN
Working capital, $m920NaN
Total debt, $m203NaN
Total liabilities, $m1142NaN
Total equity, $m3680NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.055NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.725NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1034NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m275NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1213NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-531NaN
Free cash flow, $m1744NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m920
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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