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Intrinsic value of O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)

Previous Close$572.57
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$572.57

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
38,379

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %14.9NaN
Revenue, $13328NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m10410NaN
Operating income, $m2917NaN
EBITDA, $m3250NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m2782NaN
Tax expense, $m617NaN
Net income, $m2165NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m362NaN
Total assets, $m12393NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m12031NaN
Average production assets, $m7076NaN
Working capital, $m-1371NaN
Total debt, $m5867NaN
Total liabilities, $m12459NaN
Total equity, $m-66NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio-88.894NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.007NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m2165NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m333NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3207NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-433NaN
Free cash flow, $m3641NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-1371
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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