investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)

Previous Close$135.26
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$135.26

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

PepsiCo operates as a global leader in the food and beverage industry, with a diversified portfolio spanning snacks, carbonated soft drinks, juices, and other beverages. The company generates revenue through a mix of direct sales, franchising, and licensing, leveraging its strong brand equity and extensive distribution network. PepsiCo’s core brands, including Pepsi, Lay’s, Gatorade, and Quaker, dominate their respective categories, reinforcing its competitive moat in both developed and emerging markets. The company’s strategic focus on innovation, sustainability, and health-conscious products aligns with shifting consumer preferences, ensuring long-term relevance. PepsiCo’s market position is further strengthened by its vertically integrated supply chain and economies of scale, allowing it to maintain pricing power and operational efficiency. Its dual focus on snacks and beverages provides resilience against sector-specific downturns, making it a stalwart in the consumer staples sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

PepsiCo reported revenue of $91.85 billion for FY 2024, reflecting steady top-line growth driven by pricing strategies and product mix optimization. Net income stood at $9.58 billion, with diluted EPS of $6.95, indicating robust profitability despite inflationary pressures. Operating cash flow of $12.51 billion underscores strong cash generation capabilities, though capital expenditures were not disclosed, limiting full efficiency analysis.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is evident in its ability to sustain high margins across its diversified product lines. PepsiCo’s capital efficiency is supported by its asset-light model in certain segments, though the absence of disclosed capital expenditures restricts a detailed assessment of return on invested capital. Its scalable operations and brand strength contribute to consistent earnings growth.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

PepsiCo maintains a solid balance sheet with $8.51 billion in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for strategic initiatives. However, total debt of $44.95 billion raises leverage concerns, though the company’s strong cash flow generation mitigates refinancing risks. The balance sheet remains investment-grade, supporting its dividend and growth commitments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

PepsiCo has demonstrated resilient growth through pricing power and geographic expansion. The company’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a dividend per share of $5.27, reflecting its commitment to returning capital. Long-term growth is expected to be driven by innovation in healthier product lines and emerging market penetration.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values PepsiCo as a stable, cash-generative business with moderate growth prospects. Its valuation reflects premium pricing relative to peers, justified by its strong brand portfolio and defensive characteristics. Investors anticipate sustained dividend growth and margin stability, though leverage remains a watchpoint.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

PepsiCo’s strategic advantages include its iconic brands, global scale, and diversified revenue streams. The outlook remains positive, supported by innovation in health-focused products and sustainability initiatives. However, macroeconomic headwinds and competitive pressures in the beverage sector could pose challenges. The company is well-positioned to navigate these risks given its operational agility and financial resilience.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount