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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)

Previous Close$258.77
Intrinsic Value$116.00
Upside potential  -55%
Previous Close
$258.77
Intrinsic Value
$116.00*
Potential        
-55%
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
33,407

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-06-30 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %4.8NaN
Revenue, $14348NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m11977NaN
Operating income, $m2371NaN
EBITDA, $m2966NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m2246NaN
Tax expense, $m500NaN
Net income, $m1746NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m772NaN
Total assets, $m20341NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m19569NaN
Average production assets, $m14039NaN
Working capital, $m2520NaN
Total debt, $m6719NaN
Total liabilities, $m11943NaN
Total equity, $m8398NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.800NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.392NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1746NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m595NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2575NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-69NaN
Free cash flow, $m2644NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2520
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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