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Investor's Craft

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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Previous Close$80.54
Intrinsic Value$52.88*
Upside potential  -34%
Previous Close
$80.54
Intrinsic Value
$52.88*
Potential        
-34%
* Our model cannot be used “out of the box” for the valuation of this stock. You can still do your own valuation by changing the valuation input parameters.

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
94,071

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %19.3NaN
Revenue, $25561NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m21299NaN
Operating income, $m4262NaN
EBITDA, $m5527NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m4099NaN
Tax expense, $m-70NaN
Net income, $m4169NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m9500NaN
Total assets, $m75803NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m66303NaN
Average production assets, $m14026NaN
Working capital, $m9545NaN
Total debt, $m8811NaN
Total liabilities, $m54076NaN
Total equity, $m21727NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.406NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.187NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m4169NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1265NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m6340NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-903NaN
Free cash flow, $m7243NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m9545
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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