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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)

Previous Close$199.51
Intrinsic Value$60.00
Upside potential  -70%
Previous Close
$199.51
Intrinsic Value
$60.00*
Potential        
-70%
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
23,143

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %10.5NaN
Revenue, $6996NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m5470NaN
Operating income, $m1526NaN
EBITDA, $m1716NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1538NaN
Tax expense, $m182NaN
Net income, $m1356NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m663NaN
Total assets, $m11014NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m10351NaN
Average production assets, $m4328NaN
Working capital, $m71NaN
Total debt, $m4378NaN
Total liabilities, $m8624NaN
Total equity, $m2390NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.832NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.225NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1356NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m190NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1261NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-120NaN
Free cash flow, $m1381NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m71
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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