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Intrinsic Value of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)

Previous Close$113.21
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$113.21

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) operates as a leading provider of technical, engineering, and enterprise IT services primarily for U.S. government agencies, including defense, intelligence, and civilian sectors. The company’s revenue model is driven by long-term contracts, often cost-plus or fixed-price, ensuring steady cash flows. SAIC specializes in digital transformation, cybersecurity, and advanced analytics, positioning itself as a trusted partner in national security and modernization initiatives. Its market position is reinforced by deep domain expertise and a reputation for delivering mission-critical solutions. The company competes in a fragmented but highly regulated industry, where barriers to entry include stringent security clearances and contract qualifications. SAIC differentiates itself through integrated service offerings and a focus on high-value, high-complexity projects. Its ability to adapt to evolving federal priorities, such as cloud adoption and AI integration, strengthens its competitive edge. The firm’s diversified client base mitigates dependency on any single agency, though government budget cycles remain a key influence on performance.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

SAIC reported revenue of $7.48 billion for FY 2025, with net income of $362 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $7.17, demonstrating stable earnings power. Operating cash flow was $494 million, indicating efficient working capital management. Notably, capital expenditures were negligible, suggesting a capital-light model focused on service delivery rather than asset-intensive operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings are underpinned by high contract visibility and recurring revenue streams from government engagements. SAIC’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate robust operating cash flow relative to net income, with minimal reinvestment needs. This supports consistent returns to shareholders while maintaining flexibility for strategic investments or acquisitions.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

SAIC’s balance sheet shows $56 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $2.39 billion, indicating moderate leverage. The debt level is manageable given the stable cash flows from government contracts, but refinancing risks and interest rate exposure warrant monitoring. The absence of significant capex reduces pressure on liquidity, supporting financial resilience.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is likely tied to federal budget allocations and contract renewals, with organic expansion driven by demand for IT modernization. SAIC pays a dividend of $1.48 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. Payout sustainability appears strong, backed by predictable cash flows, though reinvestment for growth may temper future increases.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values SAIC based on its government-backed revenue stability and margin profile. Trading multiples may reflect expectations of mid-single-digit growth, aligned with federal spending trends. Investor focus remains on contract wins and scalability of high-margin digital services.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

SAIC’s strategic advantages include its entrenched government relationships and expertise in high-demand areas like cybersecurity. The outlook is stable, with potential upside from increased defense and IT spending. Risks include budget cuts or delays in contract awards, but the company’s diversified portfolio provides a buffer against volatility.

Sources

10-K filing, company disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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