investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK)

Previous Close$72.87
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$72.87

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. is a diversified industrial company operating in the tools, storage, and security solutions sectors. The company generates revenue through the design, manufacture, and distribution of power tools, hand tools, and related accessories, alongside security products and industrial fastening systems. Its well-known brands, including Stanley, Black & Decker, and DeWalt, position it as a leader in both professional and consumer markets, supported by a global distribution network. The company competes in highly fragmented markets but maintains a competitive edge through brand recognition, innovation, and operational scale. Its tools segment serves construction, manufacturing, and DIY customers, while its security solutions cater to commercial and residential markets. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships have further strengthened its market presence, though it faces pricing pressures and cyclical demand fluctuations inherent in its industries.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Stanley Black & Decker reported revenue of $15.37 billion, with net income of $294.3 million, reflecting a diluted EPS of $1.95. Operating cash flow stood at $1.11 billion, though capital expenditures were not disclosed. The company’s profitability metrics indicate ongoing cost management efforts, though margins remain under pressure from input costs and competitive pricing dynamics in its core markets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its diversified product portfolio and strong brand equity, though recent profitability has been constrained by macroeconomic headwinds. Capital efficiency is a focus, with operating cash flow covering dividend obligations, but elevated debt levels necessitate careful liquidity management. The absence of disclosed capital expenditures limits a full assessment of reinvestment strategies.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Stanley Black & Decker’s balance sheet shows $290.5 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $6.23 billion, indicating a leveraged position. The debt load requires disciplined cash flow generation to meet obligations, though the company’s established market position provides stability. Shareholders’ equity and leverage ratios would benefit from further deleveraging initiatives in the coming periods.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends reflect steady demand in core markets, though growth is tempered by cyclical pressures. The company maintains a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, with a dividend per share of $3.26, signaling commitment to returns. Future growth may hinge on innovation, geographic expansion, and operational efficiency improvements to offset sector-specific challenges.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Stanley Black & Decker based on its industry leadership and cash flow generation, though elevated debt and margin pressures weigh on valuation multiples. Investors likely anticipate improved profitability as cost initiatives take effect, but near-term expectations remain cautious given macroeconomic uncertainties and competitive dynamics.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Stanley Black & Decker’s strategic advantages include its strong brand portfolio, global scale, and innovation capabilities. The outlook depends on its ability to navigate cost inflation, leverage its diversified revenue streams, and execute deleveraging. Long-term prospects are tied to demand in construction and industrial markets, with potential upside from operational improvements and strategic acquisitions.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount