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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK)

Previous Close$116.35
Intrinsic Value$50.05
Upside potential  -57%
Previous Close
$116.35
Intrinsic Value
$50.05
Potential        
-57%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
19,000

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %19.6NaN
Revenue, $15617NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m13868NaN
Operating income, $m1749NaN
EBITDA, $m2326NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1737NaN
Tax expense, $m61NaN
Net income, $m1676NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m150NaN
Total assets, $m28180NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m28030NaN
Average production assets, $m15300NaN
Working capital, $m-241NaN
Total debt, $m7042NaN
Total liabilities, $m16589NaN
Total equity, $m11591NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.608NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.492NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1676NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m577NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m663NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-511NaN
Free cash flow, $m1174NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-241
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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