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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG)

Previous Close$550.24
Intrinsic Value$69.48
Upside potential  -87%
Previous Close
$550.24
Intrinsic Value
$69.48
Potential        
-87%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
30,379

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-6.0NaN
Revenue, $4799NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3108NaN
Operating income, $m1691NaN
EBITDA, $m1929NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m641NaN
Tax expense, $m34NaN
Net income, $m607NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m4787NaN
Total assets, $m19315NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m14528NaN
Average production assets, $m11789NaN
Working capital, $m5367NaN
Total debt, $m20197NaN
Total liabilities, $m22231NaN
Total equity, $m-2916NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio-6.926NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.486NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m607NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m238NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m913NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-105NaN
Free cash flow, $m1018NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m5367
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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