investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Under Armour, Inc. (UA)

Previous Close$6.42
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.42

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Under Armour, Inc. operates as a leading performance apparel, footwear, and accessories company, primarily targeting athletes and fitness enthusiasts. The company generates revenue through direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels, including e-commerce and branded stores, as well as wholesale distribution to retailers. Its product portfolio spans sportswear, training gear, and outdoor apparel, with a focus on innovation in moisture-wicking fabrics and ergonomic design. Under Armour competes in the highly fragmented athletic wear market, dominated by global giants like Nike and Adidas, but maintains a niche following for its technical performance focus. The brand has expanded into lifestyle segments while emphasizing sustainability initiatives to appeal to environmentally conscious consumers. Despite facing intense competition, Under Armour has cultivated strong brand loyalty in North America and is strategically growing its international presence, particularly in Asia and Europe, to diversify revenue streams.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Under Armour reported revenue of $5.70 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $232 million, reflecting a diluted EPS of $0.52. Operating cash flow stood at $354 million, while capital expenditures totaled $150 million, indicating disciplined investment in growth initiatives. The company’s profitability metrics suggest moderate operational efficiency, though margins remain pressured by competitive pricing and input cost inflation.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its DTC expansion, which enhances margin control and customer engagement. Capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate positive operating cash flow despite macroeconomic headwinds. However, elevated debt levels and interest expenses could constrain near-term earnings growth if not managed prudently.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Under Armour’s balance sheet shows $859 million in cash and equivalents against $1.44 billion in total debt, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. Liquidity appears adequate, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations. The absence of dividends allows for reinvestment in growth, though debt reduction could improve financial flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, driven by international expansion and DTC channel strength. The company does not pay dividends, opting to reinvest profits into product innovation and market penetration. Future growth may hinge on successful execution in underpenetrated regions and product category diversification.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Under Armour at a moderate multiple, reflecting its niche position and growth potential. Investor expectations are tempered by competitive pressures, but improved profitability and international traction could re-rate the stock if sustained.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Under Armour’s strategic advantages include its strong brand identity in performance wear and a growing DTC footprint. The outlook depends on balancing innovation with cost discipline, while navigating supply chain challenges and macroeconomic uncertainty. Long-term success will require deepening its international presence and leveraging digital channels effectively.

Sources

Under Armour FY 2024 10-K, Investor Relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount