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Intrinsic value of Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

Previous Close$213.58
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$213.58

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
136,435

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %11.6NaN
Revenue, $21804NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m12466NaN
Operating income, $m9338NaN
EBITDA, $m11546NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m8478NaN
Tax expense, $m1955NaN
Net income, $m6523NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1025NaN
Total assets, $m64482NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m63457NaN
Average production assets, $m56391NaN
Working capital, $m-2193NaN
Total debt, $m31488NaN
Total liabilities, $m50321NaN
Total equity, $m14161NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio2.224NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.246NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m6523NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m2208NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m9032NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-2758NaN
Free cash flow, $m11790NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-2193
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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