investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic value of United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Previous Close$190.19
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$190.19

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh437.87 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-09-30.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, transportation, logistics, and related services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services in Europe, the Asia Pacific, Canada and Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, and Africa. This segment offers guaranteed time-definite express options. The company also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, distribution and post-sales, and mail and consulting services in approximately 200 countries and territories. In addition, it offers truckload brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industry; shipping, visibility, and billing technologies; and financial and insurance services. The company operates a fleet of approximately 121,000 package cars, vans, tractors, and motorcycles; and owns 59,000 containers that are used to transport cargo in its aircraft. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %15.0NaN
Revenue, $97287NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m84477NaN
Operating income, $m12810NaN
EBITDA, $m15763NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m16595NaN
Tax expense, $m3705NaN
Net income, $m12890NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m10593NaN
Total assets, $m69405NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m58812NaN
Average production assets, $m38774NaN
Working capital, $m7365NaN
Total debt, $m21915NaN
Total liabilities, $m55136NaN
Total equity, $m14269NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.536NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.099NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m12890NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m2953NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m15007NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3322NaN
Free cash flow, $m18329NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m7365
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount