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Intrinsic value of Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)

Previous Close$91.86
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$91.86
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
389,395

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %57.4NaN
Revenue, $280510NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m249276NaN
Operating income, $m31234NaN
EBITDA, $m51841NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m30676NaN
Tax expense, $m7636NaN
Net income, $m23040NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m6802NaN
Total assets, $m338923NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m332121NaN
Average production assets, $m225107NaN
Working capital, $m2511NaN
Total debt, $m53029NaN
Total liabilities, $m170346NaN
Total equity, $m168577NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.315NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.504NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m23040NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m20607NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m48129NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-12076NaN
Free cash flow, $m60205NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2511
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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