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Intrinsic ValueTunghsu Azure Renewable Energy Co.,Ltd. (000040.SZ)

Previous Close$0.86
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.86

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tunghsu Azure Renewable Energy operates as a specialized renewable energy utility in China, focusing on the development and operation of photovoltaic and wind power generation assets. The company's core revenue model centers on selling electricity to the grid from its owned power stations, supplemented by service-oriented income streams. Beyond pure power generation, it has diversified into complementary areas including smart energy services, which optimize energy consumption for clients, and the supply of clean energy materials essential for the sector. The company also maintains an environmental services division, offering ecological management, water environment restoration, and hazardous waste treatment, creating a unique integrated platform that addresses both energy production and environmental sustainability. This positions Tunghsu Azure within the broader context of China's strategic push for carbon neutrality, aiming to capture value across the clean energy value chain. Its market position is that of a mid-sized, diversified player navigating a highly competitive landscape dominated by larger state-owned enterprises, leveraging its integrated service model to secure regional projects and long-term operational contracts.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2023, the company reported revenue of CNY 1.49 billion but recorded a net loss of CNY 175.9 million, indicating significant profitability challenges despite its operational scale. The negative net income translated to a diluted EPS of -CNY 0.12. A positive aspect was the generation of CNY 380.2 million in operating cash flow, which suggests the core operations can produce cash despite the reported accounting loss. Capital expenditures of CNY 101.3 million indicate ongoing investment in its asset base.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is currently constrained, as evidenced by the net loss. The ability to generate substantial operating cash flow is a key strength, providing liquidity for debt servicing and investments. However, the capital efficiency of its significant asset base, including power plants and environmental projects, is under pressure, with returns not yet translating to bottom-line profitability. The focus remains on stabilizing and optimizing existing operations to improve returns on invested capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Tunghsu Azure's balance sheet shows a substantial cash position of CNY 3.16 billion, which provides a liquidity buffer. However, this is overshadowed by a high total debt load of CNY 7.96 billion, indicating a leveraged financial structure. The significant debt level relative to its market capitalization and profitability metrics raises concerns about long-term financial health and the sustainability of its capital structure, necessitating careful management of refinancing risks and cash flow.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company's growth trajectory appears challenged, with revenue generation not yet sufficient to achieve profitability. The lack of a dividend payment reflects its current loss-making status and the priority of conserving cash to fund operations and manage its debt obligations. Future growth is likely dependent on the successful ramp-up of its power generation assets, securing new service contracts, and improving operational efficiencies to transition towards sustainable earnings.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 1.28 billion, the market is valuing the company at a significant discount to its reported revenue, reflecting skepticism about its profitability and the high debt burden. The low beta of 0.311 suggests the stock has been less volatile than the broader market, potentially indicating investor perception of it being a value or distressed situation with limited near-term catalysts for re-rating.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its integrated model combining renewable energy generation with environmental services, aligning with national policy goals. The outlook is cautious, hinging on its ability to navigate high leverage, improve operational profitability, and capitalize on China's renewable energy expansion. Success will require disciplined capital allocation, potential asset optimization, and demonstrating a clear path to debt reduction and sustained positive earnings.

Sources

Company Annual Report (2023)Shenzhen Stock Exchange

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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