investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueTunghsu Optoelectronic Technology Co., Ltd. (000413.SZ)

Previous Close$0.37
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.37

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tunghsu Optoelectronic Technology operates as a diversified technology company with a core focus on optoelectronic display materials, serving China's display manufacturing ecosystem. The company's primary revenue streams derive from producing liquid crystal glass substrates, cover glasses, color filters, and sapphire glasses essential for TFT-LCD and OLED panels. Beyond materials, it engages in high-end equipment manufacturing and system integration, providing specialized semiconductor and automated production line equipment to display industry clients. This vertically oriented approach positions Tunghsu within the critical supply chain for flat panel displays, though its business model extends into several adjacent sectors. The company has diversified into graphene applications, including lithium-ion batteries and electric heating films, while maintaining operations in electronic product distribution, infrastructure construction, and real estate development. This diversification creates a complex corporate structure spanning multiple technology and industrial segments. Tunghsu's market position reflects its historical roots in China's display industry, though recent financial performance indicates significant operational challenges across its business units.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 4.56 billion for FY2023, but this was overshadowed by a substantial net loss of CNY -1.60 billion, resulting in diluted EPS of -CNY 0.28. Despite the negative bottom line, operating cash flow remained positive at CNY 771 million, suggesting some operational cash generation capability. Capital expenditures of CNY -211 million indicate moderate investment levels relative to the company's scale, though efficiency metrics are challenged by the significant losses incurred during the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Tunghsu's earnings power appears severely constrained, with the substantial net loss reflecting challenges across its diversified business segments. The positive operating cash flow provides some mitigation, but the company's ability to generate sustainable returns on invested capital remains questionable given the current profitability profile. The capital expenditure level suggests ongoing investment, though the efficiency of this spending is unclear without segment-level profitability data.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows significant financial strain, with total debt of CNY 20.44 billion substantially exceeding the company's market capitalization of approximately CNY 1.99 billion. While cash and equivalents of CNY 8.56 billion provide some liquidity buffer, the high debt load relative to equity value indicates substantial leverage and potential solvency concerns that warrant careful monitoring by investors.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

No dividend was distributed in FY2023, consistent with the company's loss-making position and apparent focus on preserving liquidity. Growth trends are difficult to assess without multi-year comparative data, though the current financial results suggest the company faces significant headwinds in achieving sustainable expansion across its diverse business portfolio amid challenging market conditions.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 1.99 billion, the company trades at a significant discount to its reported revenue base, reflecting investor skepticism about its profitability prospects and financial stability. The low beta of 0.112 suggests the stock exhibits lower volatility than the broader market, potentially indicating limited trading interest or specific investor base characteristics.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Tunghsu's strategic position is challenged by its diversified yet unprofitable operations. The company's core optoelectronic materials business faces intense competition in China's display industry, while its diversification into graphene applications and other sectors has yet to demonstrate commercial success. The outlook remains uncertain given the substantial losses and high debt burden, requiring significant operational improvements and potentially strategic restructuring to achieve sustainable operations.

Sources

Company filingsMarket data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount