investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueChanghong Meiling Co., Ltd. (000521.SZ)

Previous Close$6.65
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.65

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Changhong Meiling operates as a comprehensive home appliance manufacturer in China's competitive consumer cyclical sector, generating revenue through the research, development, production, and sale of a diverse product portfolio. The company's core segments include Air-Conditioning, Refrigerator & Freezer & Washing Machine, and Small Home Appliances, supplemented by technical consulting, warehousing, and maintenance services. This integrated approach allows Meiling to capture value across the appliance lifecycle while maintaining control over product quality and technological innovation. Within China's crowded home appliance market, Meiling positions itself as a mid-to-high-range manufacturer with established brand recognition through its long-standing history dating back to 1983. The company faces intense competition from both domestic giants and international players, requiring continuous investment in R&D and marketing to maintain market share. Its extensive distribution network and involvement in import/export activities provide geographic diversification beyond its domestic base. The company's expansion into adjacent areas like bio-medical services and smart home products demonstrates strategic efforts to diversify revenue streams and capitalize on emerging consumer trends in the evolving Chinese household appliance landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 28.6 billion in revenue for FY 2024, achieving net income of CNY 699 million with a net margin of approximately 2.4%. Operating cash flow was robust at CNY 3.97 billion, significantly exceeding capital expenditures of CNY 325 million. This indicates efficient cash generation from core operations relative to maintenance investment requirements, supporting the company's operational sustainability in a competitive market environment.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Changhong Meiling demonstrated solid earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 0.68 for the fiscal year. The substantial operating cash flow of nearly CNY 4 billion relative to net income suggests strong quality of earnings and effective working capital management. The company's capital expenditure discipline is evident with capex representing only 8% of operating cash flow, indicating capital-efficient operations without excessive reinvestment requirements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a strong liquidity position with CNY 10.5 billion in cash and equivalents, significantly exceeding total debt of CNY 869 million. This conservative financial structure provides substantial financial flexibility and low leverage risk. The minimal debt level relative to cash reserves indicates a robust balance sheet capable of weathering industry cyclicality while supporting potential strategic investments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has implemented a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, distributing CNY 0.33 per share for FY 2024. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 49% of diluted EPS, balancing capital return with retention for future growth initiatives. The dividend yield, while modest, reflects management's commitment to returning capital while maintaining financial flexibility for operational needs and strategic opportunities in the evolving home appliance market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CNY 7.15 billion, the company trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 10.2x based on FY 2024 earnings. The beta of 0.645 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, potentially reflecting the defensive characteristics of its home appliance business. Current valuation multiples appear reasonable relative to earnings power, indicating market expectations for stable rather than aggressive growth prospects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Changhong Meiling's strategic advantages include its established brand heritage, comprehensive product portfolio, and integrated service capabilities. The company's focus on technological innovation and expansion into adjacent sectors like bio-medical services provides diversification opportunities. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic given China's competitive home appliance market, though the company's strong balance sheet provides resilience to navigate industry challenges while pursuing selective growth initiatives in smart home and premium product segments.

Sources

Company filingsFinancial statementsMarket data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount