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Intrinsic ValueHongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou (000523.SZ)

Previous Close$4.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$4.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer and distributor of cleaning and personal care products within China's competitive consumer goods sector. The company generates revenue through the development, production, and marketing of a diverse portfolio under established brands such as Lonkey, Gofull, and Tianli. Its core offerings span multiple categories, including fabric care, kitchen cleaning, household maintenance, personal hygiene, and industrial cleaning solutions, alongside the supply of key raw materials like AES and sulfonic acid. This vertical integration provides a strategic advantage in controlling supply chain costs and ensuring product quality. Operating in the essential consumer defensive industry, the company caters to both household and industrial end-markets, positioning itself as a domestic player with a long-standing operational history dating back to 1959. Its market position is characterized by a focus on the value segment of the Chinese market, competing with both multinational corporations and local manufacturers through its portfolio of trusted regional brands. The recent rebranding in late 2023 signals a strategic pivot towards technological innovation, potentially aiming to differentiate its commodity-like product lines in an increasingly crowded marketplace.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported revenue of CNY 2.05 billion, demonstrating its scale within the domestic market. Profitability appears robust, with net income reaching CNY 513 million, translating to a high net profit margin of approximately 25%. This indicates strong cost control and pricing power for its product categories. Operating cash flow was positive at CNY 135 million, though it was significantly lower than net income, which may warrant further analysis of working capital movements during the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company exhibits substantial earnings power, as evidenced by its diluted earnings per share of CNY 0.28. Capital expenditure was modest at CNY 58.4 million, suggesting a mature operational footprint requiring limited reinvestment. The disparity between healthy net income and more moderate operating cash flow highlights the importance of monitoring cash conversion efficiency going forward to ensure sustainable financial performance.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Hongmian Zhihui maintains a solid balance sheet, with a substantial cash position of CNY 1.20 billion providing significant liquidity. Total debt stands at CNY 817.7 million. The company's financial health appears stable, supported by its cash reserves, which exceed its debt obligations. This conservative financial structure provides a buffer against market volatility and funds for potential strategic initiatives following its recent rebranding.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company did not pay a dividend for the period, opting to retain earnings, which is consistent with its recent rebranding and stated focus on science and technology innovation. This suggests a strategic priority towards funding internal growth or research and development rather than returning capital to shareholders in the near term. The long-term growth trajectory will depend on the success of its innovation-led strategy in driving market share gains.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 6.20 billion, the market valuation implies a price-to-earnings multiple that reflects expectations for the company's future execution of its innovation strategy. The beta of 0.555 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market, which is typical for defensive consumer staples companies, suggesting investors perceive it as a relatively stable investment within its sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's primary advantages include its long-established brand portfolio, vertical integration in raw materials, and deep understanding of the Chinese consumer market. The outlook hinges on the successful implementation of its technological innovation agenda to differentiate products and capture growth. Key challenges include intense competition and the need to effectively communicate the value of its rebranding to consumers and investors to justify its current valuation and growth trajectory.

Sources

Company FinancialsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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